Brian Micklethwait's Blog

In which I continue to seek part time employment as the ruler of the world.

Home

www.google.co.uk


Recent Comments


Monthly Archives


Most recent entries


Search


Advanced Search


Other Blogs I write for

Brian Micklethwait's Education Blog

CNE Competition
CNE Intellectual Property
Samizdata
Transport Blog


Blogroll

2 Blowhards
6000 Miles from Civilisation
A Decent Muesli
Adloyada
Adventures in Capitalism
Alan Little
Albion's Seedling
Alex Ross: The Rest Is Noise
Alex Singleton
AngloAustria
Another Food Blog
Antoine Clarke
Antoine Clarke's Election Watch
Armed and Dangerous
Art Of The State Blog
Biased BBC
Bishop Hill
BLDG BLOG
Bloggers Blog
Blognor Regis
Blowing Smoke
Boatang & Demetriou
Boing Boing
Boris Johnson
Brazen Careerist
Bryan Appleyard
Burning Our Money
Cafe Hayek
Cato@Liberty
Charlie's Diary
Chase me ladies, I'm in the cavalry
Chicago Boyz
China Law Blog
Cicero's Songs
City Comforts
Civilian Gun Self-Defense Blog
Clay Shirky
Climate Resistance
Climate Skeptic
Coffee & Complexity
Coffee House
Communities Dominate Brands
Confused of Calcutta
Conservative Party Reptile
Contra Niche
Contrary Brin
Counting Cats in Zanzibar
Скрипучая беседка
CrozierVision
Dave Barry
Davids Medienkritik
David Thompson
Deleted by tomorrow
deputydog
diamond geezer
Dilbert.Blog
Dizzy Thinks
Dodgeblogium
Don't Hold Your Breath
Douglas Carswell Blog
dropsafe
Dr Robert Lefever
Dr. Weevil
ecomyths
engadget
Englands Freedome, Souldiers Rights
English Cut
English Russia
EU Referendum
Ezra Levant
Everything I Say is Right
Fat Man on a Keyboard
Ferraris for all
Flickr blog
Freeborn John
Freedom and Whisky
From The Barrel of a Gun
ft.com/maverecon
Fugitive Ink
Future Perfect
FuturePundit
Gaping Void
Garnerblog
Gates of Vienna
Gizmodo
Global Warming Politics
Greg Mankiw's Blog
Guido Fawkes' blog
HE&OS
Here Comes Everybody
Hit & Run
House of Dumb
Iain Dale's Diary
Ideas
Idiot Toys
IMAO
Indexed
India Uncut
Instapundit
Intermezzo
Jackie Danicki
James Delingpole
James Fallows
Jeffrey Archer's Official Blog
Jessica Duchen's classical music blog
Jihad Watch
Joanne Jacobs
Johan Norberg
John Redwood
Jonathan's Photoblog
Kristine Lowe
Laissez Faire Books
Languagehat
Last of the Few
Lessig Blog
Libertarian Alliance: Blog
Liberty Alone
Liberty Dad - a World Without Dictators
Lib on the United Kingdom
Little Man, What Now?
listen missy
Loic Le Meur Blog
L'Ombre de l'Olivier
London Daily Photo
Londonist
Mad Housewife
Mangan's Miscellany
Marginal Revolution
Mark Wadsworth
Media Influencer
Melanie Phillips
Metamagician and the Hellfire Club
Michael Jennings
Michael J. Totten's Middle East Journal
Mick Hartley
More Than Mind Games
mr eugenides
Mutualist Blog: Free Market Anti-Capitalism
My Boyfriend Is A Twat
My Other Stuff
Natalie Solent
Nation of Shopkeepers
Neatorama
neo-neocon
Never Trust a Hippy
NO2ID NewsBlog
Non Diet Weight Loss
Normblog
Nurses for Reform blog
Obnoxio The Clown
Oddity Central
Oliver Kamm
On an Overgrown Path
One Man & His Blog
Owlthoughts of a peripatetic pedant
Oxford Libertarian Society /blog
Patri's Peripatetic Peregrinations
phosita
Picking Losers
Pigeon Blog
Police Inspector Blog
PooterGeek
Power Line
Private Sector Development blog
Public Interest.co.uk
Publius Pundit
Quotulatiousness
Rachel Lucas
RealClimate
Remember I'm the Bloody Architect
Rob's Blog
Sandow
Scrappleface
Setting The World To Rights
Shane Greer
Shanghaiist
SimonHewittJones.com The Violin Blog
Sinclair's Musings
Slipped Disc
Sky Watching My World
Social Affairs Unit
Squander Two Blog
Stephen Fry
Stuff White People Like
Stumbling and Mumbling
Style Bubble
Sunset Gun
Survival Arts
Susan Hill
Teblog
Techdirt
Technology Liberation Front
The Adam Smith Institute Blog
The Agitator
The AntRant
The Becker-Posner Blog
The Belgravia Dispatch
The Belmont Club
The Big Blog Company
The Big Picture
the blog of dave cole
The Corridor of Uncertainty (a Cricket blog)
The Croydonian
The Daily Ablution
The Devil's Advocate
The Devil's Kitchen
The Dissident Frogman
The Distributed Republic
The Early Days of a Better Nation
The Examined Life
The Filter^
The Fly Bottle
The Freeway to Serfdom
The Future of Music
The Futurist
The Happiness Project
The Jarndyce Blog
The London Fog
The Long Tail
The Lumber Room
The Online Photographer
The Only Winning Move
The Policeman's Blog
The Road to Surfdom
The Sharpener
The Speculist
The Surfer
The Wedding Photography Blog
The Welfare State We're In
things magazine
TigerHawk
Tim Blair
Tim Harford
Tim Worstall
tomgpalmer.com
tompeters!
Transterrestrial Musings
UK Commentators - Laban Tall's Blog
UK Libertarian Party
Unqualified Offerings
Violins and Starships
Virginia Postrel
Vodkapundit
WebUrbanist
we make money not art
What Do I Know?
What's Up With That?
Where the grass is greener
White Sun of the Desert
Why Evolution Is True
Your Freedom and Ours


Websites


Mainstream Media

BBC
Guardian
Economist
Independent
MSNBC
Telegraph
The Sun
This is London
Times


Syndicate

RSS 1.0
RSS 2.0
Atom
Feedburner
Podcasts


Categories

Advertising
Africa
Anglosphere
Architecture
Art
Asia
Atheism
Australasia
Billion Monkeys
Bits from books
Bloggers and blogging
Books
Brian Micklethwait podcasts
Brians
Bridges
Business
Career counselling
Cartoons
Cats and kittens
China
Civil liberties
Classical music
Comedy
Comments
Computer graphics
Cranes
Crime
Current events
Democracy
Design
Digital photographers
Economics
Education
Emmanuel Todd
Environment
Europe
Expression Engine
Family
Food and drink
France
Friends
Globalisation
Healthcare
History
How the mind works
India
Intellectual property
Japan
Kevin Dowd
Language
Latin America
Law
Libertarianism
Links
Literature
London
Media and journalism
Middle East and Islam
Movies
Music
My blog ruins
My photographs
Open Source
Opera
Painting
Photography
Podcasting
Poetry
Politics
Pop music
Propaganda
Quote unquote
Radio
Religion
Roof clutter
Russia
Science
Science fiction
Sculpture
Signs and notices
Social Media
Society
Software
South America
Space
Sport
Technology
Television
The internet
The Micklethwait Clock
Theatre
This and that
This blog
Transport
Travel
USA
Video
War


Thursday September 06 2012

This idea (alluded to in my previous posting about my comments system here) of readers digging up old comments and admiring them is no joke, as regular Samizdata commenter “llamas”, obligingly and entirely coincidentally, and after most of that previous posting had already been written, says, in a comment on my latest posting at Samizdata (which is about Obama potentially losing both (a) the US mainstream media and consequently (b) the plot and his rag in public).

Says llamas:

(puffs out chest) I actually predicted a lot of this, right on these very pages, almost 4 years ago

See what I mean.  Others may not care what you wrote four years ago, but you might.  And you might want to dig it up, llamas style, and say: I told you so.  Okay maybe you only told the world whatever you told it in comment number three (of three) in a posting here about kittens, but … you did say it.  You genuinely were thinking that, then.  You are not just saying it now, and imagining it now.  You aren’t making it up.

Here, just out of interest, is some of what llamas said, on November 5th 2008, about what was in Obama’s future:

Once the voters actually start getting what they voted for, ‘good and hard’, I think there will be a backlash that will make 1994 look like a walk in the park. If there is a really-good foreign-policy crisis in the mix - even sooner. Obama simply does not have the leadership, the skills or the experience to impose himself or his ideas on the nation in any significant way. He is Pelosi and Reid’s tame poodle, and as they go, so will he.

I saw a piece of video (widely re-broadcast) that shows an Obama supporter crying that now she won’t have to worry about her mortgage, won’t have to worry about putting gas in the car anymore - if she helps Him, He’ll help her.

Well, come about May, when her mortgage bills just keep on coming and the tank of her car does not magically refill, she’s going to be asking - where’s mine? And when she then sees her net income go down - she has a job, ergo, she’s going to pay more taxes in ObamaDemocratWorld, and the price of gas does not go down, and her 401k is still in the tank ... you see where I’m going with this?

President-elect Obama has promised to solve all of the world’s problems. Every one. It’s right there in his speeches. We’re all going to be happy and prosperous together. He said so.

And when he fails to deliver - as he must, since he has no actual power to do any of what he promised to do - and when the Congress starts to do what it REALLY had in mind all the time - the balance will change, quick and hard.

It will be hard days getting there. But the pendulum always swings back to center, and the further from center that it has been dragged - as it was yesterday - the hard the swing back.

I’m starting to think that Obama is going not just going to lose this November, but be wiped out.  But that could just be wishful thinking on my part, and in the event that Romney does win, even if by a landslide, then his troubles will have only just begun.

Basically, my take is that, yes, Romney has to win, but then the Tea Party has to keep him on the straight and narrow.  It’s a lot to ask.

I am not going to vote, and I think there are more and more of us- former Republicans who simply refuse to vote for unacceptable candidates, regardless of the fact that the rules of their game allow the other party’s unacceptable candidate to win.  The Ron Paul followers were still very hopeful about the process; many of them spent a lot of time and effort qualifying as delegates.  The Romney would have got the nomination anyway, but instead of playing fair they changed the rules, effectively extinguishing any remaining hope these people had of the electoral process.
And, naturally, once you stop playing team politics you notice there isn’t much difference in policy. 
I hope your predictions are wrong because I hope for some sort of destabilization of the current regime.  If the Republicans can’t get people out under these conditions, then they may change, especially as their personal political careers come under pressure.

Posted by August on 06 September 2012

Well, in the vein of repeating what was said about the 2008 election, here’s what I wrote back then to those who said ‘Oh, I’m not going to vote at all, because the Republican candidates are unacceptable.’ Feel free to update the names for this year’s election.

‘Oh, FGS. Here we go again, arguing the perfection of doctrinal purity and condemning to the 14th circle of Hades any politician who fails to come up to the mark.

Look, the question to ask yourself is this - which do you hate more? Your country? Or John McCain?

Forget all these angels-on-pinheads arguments - this is the choice we have. It may not be the choice you want, but it is the choice we have. If teaching John McCain a lesson in doctrinal purity is more important to you than the future of the whole country - then vote for Hillary. Hell, vote for Obama - if you want to put the country in the sh*tter, might as well put it in deep.

Yes, McCain is wrong, about many things. But Clinton and Obama are just as wrong about the same things, plus they are wrong about a whole lot of other things besides. And that is the choice we have.

Stop counselling people to cut off their own noses just so that you can spite your face. All this talk of how it’s better to not vote at all rather than for an insufficiently-pure Republican is a bunch of nonsense - because with a Democratic House and a Democratic President, they’ll finally be able to do to you, what they’ve been threatening to do all these years. That’s a pretty high price for all of us to pay, just so that you can say ‘well at least I didn’t vote for McCain!’

llater,

llamas

Posted by llamas on 06 September 2012

What llamas said!

To those in opposition (with whom I greatly sympathize), I would ask this:  If you had to choose between living in a European social democracy--say, Germany, for instance--or the USSR, which would you choose?

Suppose the Great Frog decreed that you had five days to send in your preference, but that after that you would probably be sent to the USSR.  Would you refuse to send your preference on the grounds that Germany is not Libertopia and you don’t think much of the G.F. either...so you refuse to accept the G.F.’s offer of the chance to make your own choice?

Do you understand that if Obama by some horrible mischance “wins” this thing, we will have lost even the illusion of being a self-governing people--that our rulers henceforth will be assisted by literal, physical legbreakers--not to mention actual, active communists? 

Do you understand that there is a cumulative effect of tiny bits, so that the election IS influenced, indeed, by whom you vote for--or against?  It’s very important to vote in this election, and that’s arguably true even in a state which, like mine, is just about certain to come out “blue” overall.

Posted by Julie near Chicago on 07 September 2012

I see no evidence that the election will be a landslide. I think Romney will win by a small majority, but reelection of Obama by a tiny margin looks possible too.

Wargame the electoral college state by state, and there are too many states that the Republicans are not going to win. Of the big states, California and new York are not in play. And without them, no landslide.

Posted by Michael Jennings on 07 September 2012
Commenting is not available in this weblog entry.